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  1. RickO'Shay

    RickO'Shay A kindly older Gent

    Joined:
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    Messages:
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    Voters are shifting to Democrats, flashing a warning for Republicans
    *not_secure_link*s2.googleusercontent.com/s2/favicons?domain=www.washingtonpost.comwashingtonpost.com/politics/lost-ground-for-gop-signals-challenges-for-2016/2015/07/04/0b6703d6-226e-11e5-aeb9-a411a84c9d55_story.html
    [​IMG]
    President Obama speaks at the University of Wisconsin at La Crosse in Wisconsin. (Carolyn Kaster/AP)

    The Gallup organization reported its latest findings on party identification late last week, and the report contained good news for the Democrats and a flashing yellow for Republicans.

    The Democrats “have regained an advantage” over the GOP in party affiliation, Gallup’s Jeffrey M. Jones wrote in an accompanying analysis. Republicans, he added, “have seemingly lost the momentum they had going into last fall’s elections.”

    Dan Balz is Chief Correspondent at The Washington Post. He has served as the paper’s National Editor, Political Editor, White House correspondent and Southwest correspondent. View Archive
    The current numbers don’t mean Republicans can’t win the White House in 2016. The Democrats’ advantage is not as large as at other points in the past, for example. But the findings add to a series of data points that underscore the challenges ahead for a party trying to keep pace with a rapidly changing country.

    The latest numbers essentially mark a reset that returns party affiliation to its modern historical norm. Democrats long have enjoyed the advantage over Republicans in Gallup’s measures.

    In those few periods when the GOP drew even or slightly ahead (after Republicans took control of Congress in 1994 or after the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001), the party has been unable to hold that ground for long.

    [New Gallup numbers may have bits of bad news for Clinton]

    These have obviously been good weeks for President Obama and the Democrats. The Supreme Court’s decisions rejecting another legal challenge to the Affordable Care Act and ruling that same-sex marriage is now legal around the country gave the Obama administration two significant victories that were at odds with Republican doctrine.

    Obama’s eulogy at the memorial service for the Rev. Clementa Pinckney, one of nine people slain last month after Bible study at the Emanuel African Methodist Episcopal Church in Charleston, S.C., was further evidence of a president determined to leverage the powers of his office to advance an agenda at odds with the policies and positions of the GOP.

    Republicans in Congress have blocked his path to legislative success on many of Obama’s pet issues: gun control, minimum wage, immigration reform and climate change among them. But the president’s sharpened rhetoric on these and other issues signaled a renewal of the quadrennial battle for public opinion and electoral support.

    Obama has repeated his attacks on the GOP as a party out of touch with the country, as a party of the past during a time of historic change. Hillary Rodham Clinton is echoing that same message about the Republicans as she campaigns for the Democratic nomination.

    Democratic Party affiliation no doubt has benefited by a modest rise in Obama’s approval ratings, which were weak through most of 2014 and have recovered somewhat this spring and summer. The stronger Obama’s approval ratings next year, the more likely it is that the Democrats will retain the White House for a third consecutive term.

    This isn’t the first time Obama has enjoyed a confluence of good events and renewed energy, only to see it slip away. Such ebbs and flows have marked his presidency from the start and could pull him down from the high moment he is enjoying.

    [The story of the Obama presidency, as told in 510 Gallup headlines]

    Clinton is widely popular among Democrats of all ideological stripes, even as she faces a challenge from the left for the nomination from Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). Still, she carries substantial baggage that could affect her prospects in a general election, if she is the party’s nominee.

    Republicans must hope that they nominate a presidential candidate who the public sees as sharing its values and who embodies the future direction of the country. For now, however, the contest for the nomination offers potholes and pitfalls.

    “Although Obama and the Republican majority in Congress remain a major focus of the political news coverage, attention is increasingly turning to the 2016 presidential campaign,” Jones’s analysis notes. “Here Democrats may be benefiting from having a well-known and relatively popular front-running candidate in Hillary Clinton, which paints a contrast to the large, fractured and generally less well-known field of Republican presidential candidates.”

    The Republican field on paper is substantially better than it was four years ago. But at present, no one is capturing the interest or imagination of the voters.

    The best known among the group is former Florida governor Jeb Bush. But his family name and resistance hobble him to another Bush presidency.

    The other Republicans have barely registered, even among party faithful. Every one of the candidates has a personal story he or she thinks will turn him or her into a more compelling figure, but few voters are listening at this point. The seeming strength of the field has yet to return dividends to the party as a whole.

    Nor have the candidates begun to engage one another. When they do, the party will be plunged into a debate about the future — of health care, of the environment, of same-sex marriage, of the economy. On some of these issues, the divisions risk playing into Obama’s and Clinton’s characterization of the Republicans being caught in the past.

    Obamacare animates the Republican base but is a call for repeal a winning issue?

    On same-sex marriage, should Republicans stand for a constitutional amendment to give states the power to decide the definition of marriage, as some GOP candidates advocate, or try to take the issue off the agenda?

    On climate change, the challenge appears to be finding the right language and the right balance on policy. How will the candidates divide on this issue?

    The Republicans running for president have choices to make as they attempt to position themselves and their party as being in touch with the aspirations of a majority of the voters.
     
    • Like Like x 1
    #1
  2. ejls

    ejls Siren of the Seaway

    Joined:
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    Messages:
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    I thought things were looking better. Isn't that why Donald Trump is running? To make all the others look good?
     
    #2
  3. tenguy

    tenguy Reasoned voice of XNXX

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2007
    Messages:
    56,083
    It's raison d'etre.
     
    #3
  4. RickO'Shay

    RickO'Shay A kindly older Gent

    Joined:
    Jun 13, 2012
    Messages:
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    In the rest of America it is spelled Raisin.
     
    #4
  5. tenguy

    tenguy Reasoned voice of XNXX

    Joined:
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    Messages:
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    Google it.
     
    #5
  6. RickO'Shay

    RickO'Shay A kindly older Gent

    Joined:
    Jun 13, 2012
    Messages:
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    No speak FROG!
     
    #6
  7. tenguy

    tenguy Reasoned voice of XNXX

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2007
    Messages:
    56,083
    Do you speak English?

    It is an accepted term in English, just as most of our language does use foreign terms freely.

    But, WTF, you are RickO'Shit, so you are an exception to the rule.
     
    #7
  8. 69magpie

    69magpie Mischievous Magpie

    Joined:
    Dec 11, 2014
    Messages:
    19,104
    Some of you lot have managed to butcher the English language, so why not butcher the French language as well.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    #8
  9. NoOneFamous

    NoOneFamous Porn Star

    Joined:
    Jan 19, 2012
    Messages:
    3,095
    they are still going to hang on to the House.
     
    #9
  10. M4MPetCock

    M4MPetCock Porn Star Banned!

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2012
    Messages:
    13,642
    Que fucking sera!


    Happy now?
     
    #10
  11. shootersa

    shootersa Frisky Feline

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2010
    Messages:
    85,996
    PSSST!
    Tenguy; Rick really did mean "raisin". See, he has a thing about "sticky raisins". It's OK, its harmless, just humor him.
     
    #11
  12. RandyKnight

    RandyKnight Have Gun, Will Travel

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2008
    Messages:
    26,534
    trump is #2 in the republicans polls.........behind Bush.......
     
    #12
  13. ejls

    ejls Siren of the Seaway

    Joined:
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    That's just freakin' scary. Of course he is a great business man who came back after bankruptcy - twice. Oh wait, doesn't that mean he went bankrupt twice, also?
     
    • Like Like x 1
    #13
  14. tommyturtle

    tommyturtle Having an Out of Shell Experience

    Joined:
    Apr 5, 2008
    Messages:
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    The powers at the top of the Republican party won't let Trump win just like the powers at the top of the Democrat party won't let Sanders win. They both do too much damage to their party's fundraising efforts.
     
    • Like Like x 1
    #14
  15. Distant Lover

    Distant Lover Master of Facts

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2007
    Messages:
    61,783
    If that happens it will probably be because of gerrymandering.

    --------

    In 2012, the first congressional election after the last round of gerrymandering, Democratic House candidates won 50.59 percent of the vote — or 1.37 million more votes than Republican candidates — yet secured only 201 seats in Congress, compared to 234 seats for Republicans. - See more at: *not_secure_link*www.republicreport...or-republican-advantage/#sthash.pfcTLvZt.dpuf
     
    #15
  16. tenguy

    tenguy Reasoned voice of XNXX

    Joined:
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    Psst, I knew that he would respond in that direction, to my play on words.
     
    #16
  17. Distant Lover

    Distant Lover Master of Facts

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2007
    Messages:
    61,783
    Once when Trump was millions of dollars in debt he was walking in Manhattan with his first wife. He saw a homeless man, and told his wife, "If he has several quarters in his pockets he is richer than I am."

    It is nice to be so well connected that one can recover from something like that and go back to being a billionaire.
     
    #17
  18. tommyturtle

    tommyturtle Having an Out of Shell Experience

    Joined:
    Apr 5, 2008
    Messages:
    7,382
    Maybe I should start paying attention to those real estate infomercials on TV. You know, the ones that claim that you can become a millionaire over night with no money down.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    #18
  19. RandyKnight

    RandyKnight Have Gun, Will Travel

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2008
    Messages:
    26,534
    He did a reorganization, not full bankruptcy, once in the 80's when commercial real estate went down everywhere and New York city was almost bankrupt....
    all the savings and loans went under and damn near the banks too................

    Houston and Dallas looked like bombed out Berlin all the halted construction......very few came out of that mess but he did....
     
    #19
  20. RandyKnight

    RandyKnight Have Gun, Will Travel

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2008
    Messages:
    26,534
    trump pretty much stated in a round about way he will spent 300 million of his own money just to give them hell..........
     
    #20